Sunday, September 30, 2012

Ohio Presidential Polls: Obama Leads Romney By 9 Points, Columbus Dispatch Poll Finds


The dynamic of an election during a Presidential Election year is different than an off year election. In the 2010 Tea Party "landslide" only 4 out of 10 voters even bothered to show up at the polls. Turnout will be way higher in November, and higher turnout favors the Democrats. That is why the Republicans have been focused on voter purges and ID laws to cull participation by Democrats in November. I think the Republicans, however, have blown it big time. They picked a ticket that alienates key factions of their coalition. The Mormon factor is a big issue with the Fundamentalist Christians in the Red States, so the GOP is looking at lots of voters in its base that may find other things to do on election day. The Republicans should have gone with a VP who would have energized that part of the base ... Huckabee or Santorum would have been the best choices ... with Ryan they got a candidate who appeals to maybe 2% of the GOP base, and alienates the rest. Anyway you slice it you have a GOP ticket with two northerners, neither of whom are Fundamentalist Christians.



The GOP has a tough nut to crack in November, to say the least.



The Democrats ... and anti-Republicans ... should heed the wisdom of Ray Kroc. If the competition is going to drown stick a hose in their mouth. Dems need to passionately engage to the bitter end.
Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

No comments:

Post a Comment