In Ron Suskind's book "The Way of the World" he describes the game plan Al Qaeda has adopted to topple the US, from the point of view of an Al Qaeda affiliate in the UK, and it requires an American President who will respond with a massive attack against the Muslim World for any terrorist action against the US. The goal being to further drive a wedge between the Islamic moderates and the West and allow for the radicals, like Al Qaeda, to expand their influence in the Muslim world, while causing more of the curtailing of civil rights, driven by paranoia, within the United States. The assumption being that ultimately Americans will react harshly against the US Government's abridgment of civil rights, resulting in a further destabilizing of American society which would cause the Government to become more domestically focused in order to deal with the unrest, and less likely to be involved in foreign engagements.
So, I wouldn't view this endorsement of McCain by Al Qaeda supporters as an case of reverse psychology, I think they have reasoned that McCain, as erratic and hawkish as he is, would play right into their hands, and aid them in furthering their goals.
I would take this McCain endorsement as credible under the circumstances.
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